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CAULFIELD : CAULFIELD CUP - 18th Oct 2008
Track: GOOD (3) - Weather: BLOODY NICE - Rail: OUT 6M

Betting Portfolio ($50):
Hot dry and lovely weather and sure they will be heading towards a record crowd and world record alcohol consumption with the crowds flocking to see the HUSSLER in action. This track might end up quite firm, so avoid those who need some give in the ground.

Even racing last Sat, and again here on Weds when the rail was TRUE. Often when the rail goes out to 6M on Caulfield Cup day on pacers are advantaged. Definitely want to get on the on pacers in the first half of the program and you might find those getting back struggle to make ground. Should even out by the end of the day as the track starts to wear later on. But get on the on pacers early – probably some money to be made.

RESULTS : Track comes up firm, on pacers are definitely favoured early and track evens out to be fair for the last half of the program. Great day of racing and great day of tipping - look at all those winners ! Unlucky not to pick up some quinellas along the way. Come home with a rush, tipping 3 legs of the quaddie straight out.

Other than that, looks a ridiculously tough program with some very even races. So just have a play, throw in those 20-1 shots and try and snare a big trifecta along the way.

BEST BET : Race 3: 9-HEART OF DREAMS $11 WIN 1st W=$3.00 = $33
QUINELLA : Race 3: 9-HEART OF DREAMS, 8-NATO x $5 1st W=$3.00
This one was unlucky last start, held up for runs trapped against the rails, ran on well once got into the clear. Only the 3 starts and going along OK and strong finisher who should be suited by fast speed in this race. Take the quinella with the other strong finisher, the (8) who ran OK here last week and should be nice odds.
RESULTS : Everyone was tipping this as best bet of day, so started a little short, but never looked like losing after being placed in box seat in great ride by jockey. $3.50 available with bookmakers was good odds.

BEST EACH WAY : Race 6: 8-MUSIDORA $5 EW
QUINELLA : Race 6: 8-MUSIDORA, 18-PRIMA NOVA (emerg) x $3 SCR = $3
QUINELLA : Race 6: 8-MUSIDORA, 11-ABSOLUTELYFABULOUS x $3 3rd W=$12.80
QUINELLA : Race 6: 8-MUSIDORA, 1-MIMI LEBROCK x $3 1st W=$3.80
Fitter for the 2 runs in, and the run over the 1400M. Very tough to run down when she gets to the lead unchallenged, and showed last start she was close to a win when she led, kicked and fought on pretty well. Need to hope the (17) doesn’t take her on in the lead though, who now gets a start. Should be a nice quinella in a large field as well.
RESULTS : Unfortunately, the (17) does get a run and jumps to the lead. Our bet sits handy, but fades badly on the home turn and is very disappointing.

BEST ROUGH : Race 5: 7-PINNACLES $5 EW
Another who is fitter for the 2 runs in and the run over the 1400M. Loomed up last start with big weight, but died on run and should be better this time. Seems to be a far bit of speed in this race, and he should get a nice run behind the speed from his good barrier. Worth a shot at odds.
RESULTS : Gets a bit further back than expected, runs on OK, maybe next start for this one.

TURF DELI WONDER BET : Here we try and turn $5 into a whole lot more
CAULFIELD CUP TRIFECTA :
Flexi Tri : Race 8 : 12 / 3,4,9,18 / 3,4,7, 9,14,16,17,18 x $5 = 17.86%
Always big dividends to be had in the cup trifectas, so here goes. Trifecta around our Caulfield Cup selections, 3,9,12 which are excellent numbers cause they add up to each other - which is always a great sign. Take 12-LITTORIO to win , hope the roughie 4-FIUMICINO does something, and go as wide as possible for 3rd
RESULTS : No, we didn't get the trifecta. It paid $71,000 !!!!

SPENT : $50
RETURN : $36
NET : $-14


The Tips:

Race 1: 4-COOL DIVA, 2-LODORE FALLS, 7-MINE GAME
Race 2: 1-TESTA MONTE, 3-VIVA DUBAI, 2-ESTEE
Race 3: 9-HEART OF DREAMS, 8-NATO, 1-TINDAL
Race 4: 6-LARRY’S NEVER LATE, 1-EXCELLTASTIC, 8-PRE EMINENCE
Race 5: 7-PINNACLES, 13-CARGO CULT, 9-STICKPIN
Race 6: 8-MUSIDORA, 18-PRIMA NOVA (emerg), 11-ABSOLUTELYFABULOUS, 1-MIMI LEBROCK
Race 7: 2-BAUGHURST, 7-MUSKET, 4-RED LORD
Race 8: 12-LITTORIO, 9-DOURO VALLEY, 3-MASTER O'REILLY
Race 9: 3-SUNBURNT LAND, 4-DANCE THE WAVES, 9-MORGAN DOLLAR
Race 10: 3-INTERFERE, 9-LA GOULUE, 12-BELLE’S READY


RACE 1: RESULTS
Tips:
4-COOL DIVA
2-LODORE FALLS
7-MINE GAME 1st W=$4.00

RACE 2: RESULTS
Tips:
1-TESTA MONTE 3rd W=$9.50
3-VIVA DUBAI
2-ESTEE 1st W=$5.70

RACE 3: RESULTS
Tips:
9-HEART OF DREAMS 1st W=$3.00
8-NATO
1-TINDAL

RACE 4: RESULTS
Tips:
6-LARRY’S NEVER LATE
1-EXCELLTASTIC
8-PRE EMINENCE 1st W=$11.60

RACE 5: RESULTS
Tips:
7-PINNACLES
13-CARGO CULT
9-STICKPIN 3rd W=$15.00

RACE 6: RESULTS
Tips:
8-MUSIDORA
11-ABSOLUTELYFABULOUS 3rd W=$12.80
1-MIMI LEBROCK 1st W=$3.80

RACE 7: RESULTS
Tips:
2-BAUGHURST 1st W=$7.30
7-MUSKET
4-RED LORD

RACE 8: RESULTS
Tips:
12-LITTORIO
9-DOURO VALLEY
3-MASTER O'REILLY

RACE 9: RESULTS
Tips:
3-SUNBURNT LAND 1st W=$4.20
4-DANCE THE WAVES
9-MORGAN DOLLAR

RACE 10: RESULTS
Tips:
3-INTERFERE 1st W=$4.60
9-LA GOULUE
12-BELLE’S READY



RACE 8: CAULFIELD CUP 2400M GROUP 1
Tips:
12-LITTORIO
9-DOURO VALLEY
3-MASTER O'REILLY

Others: 18, 4, 17

Pace: EVEN
Leaders : 2-MALDIVIAN, 14-BOUNDLESS (NZ)
Handy : 1-WEEKEND HUSSLER, 4-FIUMICINO, 7-MAD RUSH (USA), 8-ALL THE GOOD (IRE) , 9-DOURO VALLEY, 15-DOLPHIN JO, 16-RIVA SAN , 18-GUILLOTINE, 19-BARBARICUS
Back : 3-MASTER O'REILLY, 6-NOM DU JEU (NZ), 10-ICE CHARIOT, 11-VIEWED, 12-LITTORIO, 13-RED RULER (NZ), 17-ZAGREB, 20-NEWPORT , 21-RED LORD, 22-MOATIZE

Chances:
3-MASTER O'REILLY won this race last year, and is out to prove himself this year to those who doubt the quality of that win – he had absolutely no weight (50.5 kgs), two of his main rivals got scratched at the barriers, and he got a dream run through the field on the inside. However, he has done everything right so far this time in, running on well 1st up, then putting himself right into the finish 2nd up. Even better he is well weighted out of the Turnbull which is what you want – meets the (12) 1.5kgs better for 1L defeat. Only the 2 runs in, and up 400M into this and normally would avoid that sort of light preparation going into these races, especially if it turns out to be a genuine staying contest – look back at the previous winners and nearly all of them have had at least 3 runs into this race (and most 4 runs or more). But horses that run well in this race one year often do well again, he is in form , Turnbull form normally holds up and he gets in OK at the weights so think he is a chance. Chance.
4-FIUMICINO is an above average Syd stayer who is well drawn – and barriers are important in this race. Might do the cut the corner move which has worked for TAWQEET and MASTER O’REILLY in previous years. 5 runs in, has won a race on the way through which is a good sign. Failure blamed on wet track last start – but did win the AJC Derby on a heavy track as a 3YO. Did come down to Melb during Autumn and didn’t fire a shot. Only the 15 starts though, so still lightly raced and need to remember these Syd horses all missed a campaign through EI. Firm track should suit. Versatile type, who can race forward, and likely to get a pretty good sit just behind the lead in this race. We can knock a lot of his opposition here – so think he actually represents a pretty decent rough chance as he will make his own luck from the barrier and is probably good enough on best form to be a factor here. Question is is the Sydney form any good though? As long as last start flop was just because of the wet track – put him in as genuine rough chance.
9-DOURO VALLEY caused a boil over last week when jockey went to the lead and pinched the race. Great ride, but don’t write it off as a fluke – those behind him had every chance to run past him and couldn’t. Has quite a bit in his favour today – last start winner – and you need to have winning form going into this race, firm dry hard tracks are his go, drawn a nice barrier and can race handy. Plus goes well at Caulfield – 3 wins here. Does meet the (18) 2kgs worse off for only a narrow victory, so not well in at the weights. Came out of barrier 3 last year, when had the 4 runs in (rather than 3 runs in this year), raced handy and finished 2nd. No reason why he cannot at least do the same again today. Genuine chance and probably going to be at decent odds too.
12-LITTORIO has finally lived up to his promise this spring – has been a long time coming. Showed a lot of promise as a 3YO in spring last year when he was obviously still working out what it was all about. Competitive though out the Syd Autumn 3YO staying races without winning, which in a way is a plus cause it means he gets less weight here. Has been doing absolutely everything right this spring – running on – and seriously running on 1st up and 2nd up , and then with the blinkers going on in the Turnbull he won in style - had them covered and won going away from them. Not as well weighted going into this, meets the (3) 1.5kgs worse off, and the (18) 5.5 kgs worse off. But he ticks all the boxes of the type of horse you want in this race, the 4YO on the rise, in winning form, with proven staying ability. Guess he will drop back from barrier, and think that is the only thing that will beat him – luck in running - think he needs some room in running and probably is better suited at Flemington – so he might be the one who struggles to get clear and comes with a finishing burst too late and is the one you want to follow going into the Cup. Probably want to see him ridden about midfield and no further back than that. If he was in one of the more major stables, and coming off a win as impressive as the Turnbull think he would start clear cut favourite and well supported, so think the $6 or so on offer at the moment is definitely good value. Looks the one to beat.
17-ZAGREB is a frustrating horse to follow, often dropping too far back and running home too late, but seems to have improved a bit this time in. Like that he settled closer to the speed here 2nd up, then suited by runners on track when winning over 2000M. Stepped up in class into the Turnbull and didn’t show much – would have liked to have seen something to suggest that he might be a factor here today. Trainer did say he got a clod of mud caught in his mouth though. Drawn a nice barrier, blinkers go on today, so they might try and ride him a bit more forward – say midfield. No weight, has winning form this time in , nice barrier, despite failing in the Turnbull last start, think he is a rough chance in this. Rough. SCR
18-GUILLOTINE has been the surprise packet so far this spring – win at MV was seriously impressive when did get good cover on a fast speed, but was always going to win if he got out and claimed them nicely. Thought Turnbull run was OK too when he over raced after being trod on – stuck on pretty well to run 5th and gets by far the best of the weights from that race – dropping 5.5 kgs. Pacifiers went on last start – major issue with this horse is him over racing and not settling, and not far from the winner – again meets the (9) well on weights. Ticks all the boxes you want in this race – 4YO on the rise, in winning form, no weight, off good Turnbull run, 4 runs in – honestly he was going to be a clear top pick until the barriers came out – barrier 21. Ouch ! He can race handy – imagined him drawing a nice middle barrier, sitting just behind the speed and being very hard to beat. Guess they need to go forward on him and hope they can find a spot and he settles. Barriers are very important in this race. So can’t tip him anymore, he is still a winning chance if he gets the right run, just watch he doesn’t go out to silly odds cause everyone has written him off because of the barrier. Chance – with luck !

Place:
7-MAD RUSH (USA) is an overseas stayer who seems to have people paying attention. Think they have pretty much worked out how to ride these overseas horses in these races – on pace, out wide, get them rolling and make it a genuine staying contest, they usually stick on and last couple of years haven’t been that far away from the finish – but it’s usually an eye catching unlucky 3rd or 4th. Local jockey on board is a big plus. Yet to be unplaced, looks like from outside barrier he will probably go forward and roll them along. Keep an eye out to see if he has any support, suspect there is going to be some interest in this one. Near impossible to line them up, so cannot back with any confidence, but probably won’t be far away so put in as a place chance. 4th W=$9.80
14-BOUNDLESS (NZ) makes up the trio of NZ visitors and probably not all that much between them on last run. Again only the 3 runs in, and going up in distance again, the difference from her Kiwi comrades though in that she goes forward and is probably going to be the leader on the fence here. Much rather be racing on the speed in this race then dropped back in the field. Useful enough over Sydney 3YO filly staying races. Did get weight from the (6) and the (13) - 2.5kgs last start – and they both beat her home – so doesn’t look well weighted going into this today meeting them on worse weight terms. Suspect she probably prefers a little give in the ground too. She will set the pace here, and form once she gets past 2000M is good, but her 3YO form came after hard racing so she might need this run as well. 4YO mare and they did have a purple patch in this race for a while, but think those days are long gone. Doubt she can win, but probably worth a rough place chance sticking on near the lead.
16-RIVA SAN is a 4YO mare which would be a glowing endorsement to back her if this race was being run in the mid 1990s. Was thereabouts in the spring 3YO filly staying races, but really found her grove in QLD over the winter – looks like genuinely wet tracks are her go, which is not going to help her here. Three runs in – and they have been 1600M/1800M/2000M so didn’t start off over a sprint trip. Was flying home last start – was a wet track – and probably should’ve won – was a good run. OK barrier should see her running in the first half of the field. Probably worth a place chance as looks like she is going along OK. Winning chance on a wet track, place chance on a dry track.


Sacking:
1-WEEKEND HUSSLER is verging on rock star status, or religious icon, or possibly next Prime Minister. Question has always been – will he stay ? And where can we get a red cap ? Was going through spring in fine style, save for excusable first up defeat, ground home to win 2nd up, suited by slow speed to sprint away 3rd up at Flem, stalked and went past them (but didn’t pull away from them) in the Underwood, and then belly flopped in the Turnbull. So how much do we make of that ? Jockey did go wide and early coming around the home turn, having no choice from the wide barrier. He may have been dominant enough that he could race like that and win as a 3YO, but in open company, and over staying trips which probably are not his caper he is going to get found out. Does end up as top weight with 57kgs in this, which is a tough ask, although 4YOs have a good record in this race they are usually on the rise and get in with a light weight – this one already did it all as a 3YO.
Drawn a nice barrier, will probably sit up handy behind the speed today, and that’s what they want – to put him to sleep and nurse him over the distance. Does he stay? Doubt it. Can he win a Caulfield Cup? Maybe, but he would need it to be a sit sprint race and would need a lot of luck. Think they would probably want him sitting not far from the speed, with cover, but on the outside – if you look back at all his runs this time in he does have a bit of a flat spot when asked to go – think if he is trapped behind horses he will struggle to get clear. Suspect he will start favourite – and will start clear favourite on the tote maybe as short as $3.50 with his media profile. Definite query if the overseas horses run them along and make this a true staying test - if he struggles to settle its all over. Shouldn’t write off a champion horse on one bad run, and not sure how well many of these are going this year, but we are going to have to leave him out. Think he either wins or finishes well back, so no place bets please. Can’t justify backing him to win, think he would nearly need everything to go right. Good luck to those who want to keep on following him, looks like you will get much better odds than you would have dreamed about a few weeks ago - and feel free to throw eggs at us in the carpark after the races when he wins. Not for us.
2-MALDIVIAN returns to seek revenge for his untimely exit from this race last year. Late gear change of Stack Hat and elbow pads to prevent any re-occurrence of last year’s nasty boo-boo. Looked to be back to best at first two runs in this spring, the HUSSLER was struggling to get past him, got caught up on fast speed on MV, hit lead – but found nothing, kicked clear and looked home in the Underwood, but wilted badly 50M later, and again in the Turnbull – was leading about 150M out but wilting on the line. Trainer has been staying he needs the fitness, but he is just not finishing off his races. Tongue tie gear change today,, theory is he has been stopping so badly he has been swallowing his tongue – something we might have to do if the HUSSLER wins after we canned it. Drawn out, will go forward and probably get trapped ride. If the gear change works – and he returns to best – think he actually just about wins this. Hasn’t been that far off them, just the last bit of his races are the problem. Guess if you are backing him, you are really betting on the gear change. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him run better, and might blow out to pretty decent odds, but can’t back him seriously until he shows a return to form.
5-KIBBUTZ (NZ) – SCRATCHED
6-NOM DU JEU (NZ) is one of the several NZ horses coming over for a crack at this race. Although the NZ form hasn’t been much for a while now, there is a chance they might be a serious threat this year. Won the AJC Derby this year on a bog track coming from well back. Drawn a very wide barrier, and probably has to drop well back here – although he hasn’t got as far back in his recent NZ runs, suspect he might end up near the tail of the field here. 3 runs in, finishing on well and coming along OK, up 400M again today, just suspect he would need a seriously wet track to win against this lot. Reportedly suffering from travel sickness, home sickness and bed wetting. Happy to risk. 2nd W=$27.00
8-ALL THE GOOD (IRE) is another OS stayer who might go forward here from good barrier. Not as good a record as many who have tried before him – and failed – coming off a win at 25-1 suggests he wasn’t setting the world on fire. Stable has been trying for years and doesn’t seem to be getting any closer – and you do get the impression they are sending them down here aiming at the Melbourne Cup rather than this race, so quite happy to let them run. 1st W=$47.70
10-ICE CHARIOT has been going along OK in Sydney with the 3 runs in and managed to be thereabouts each time. Finished well back in this race in 2006, but form this time in is probably better. Drawn inside, likely to drop well back and even if he got a dream run through the field it is nigh on impossible to win this race from well back. Form is OK, but still think he struggles at this level.
11-VIEWED missed a lead up run last week when scratched at the barrier, so going into this race 1 run short – only the 2 runs in and most winners of this race have had at least 3 runs or more. Both runs have been OK – has made up a little ground, but really want in form winning horses in this race – no point getting carried away with the “good cup trials” as they make ground but finish well back– you need to be in winning form. Might improve, but probably want some give in the ground too and likely to strike a hard dry track today. Passing.
13-RED RULER (NZ) is another of the late charge NZers going into this race – seems to be a concerted attack force this year. Only the 3 runs in, going 1200M/1600M/200M, so up another 400M in distance today. Struck form last start finishing on well from well back in the field. Meets the (6)1.5kgs better from that run. Competitive over Syd Autumn 3YO races, but another who drops well back, from barrier 1 would need an awful lot of luck to get through this field, else doubt he is good enough to circle the field and keep going. Happy to risk.
15-DOLPHIN JO keeps on keeping on. Takes a while to run into form and fitness, has been gradually getting there and finally struck though for a win last start. Initially only aimed at the Melbourne Cup and was going to dodge this race. Is in winning form which is very important for this race. Plus is that he has had the 2 x 2400M runs this time in, so if the overseas horses roll along and make it a genuine staying test he will be suited. Should race handy as well. Form suggests he does like just a little give in the track and looks like this track is going to be very firm though. To be honest think he struggles at this level. And when we say that winning form going into this race is important – well, the Winning Edge 2400M race doesn’t count – form from that race hasn’t held up since the internet was invented. (OK – so maybe we have a dodgy memory – last year’s Cup winner won that race..Ooops). And last week’s race was a pretty weak affair. Happy to risk.
19-BARBARICUS gets in the field now that the (5) is scratched. Drawn wide and probably races handy so gets caught wide. Had the 4 runs in, in first 3 he loomed, threatened, but didn’t really get into the finish – last start in the Cranbourne Cup was best by far. Form from the races before that is a bit dodgy and didn’t think he was going very well, but solid effort last start. Yet to win past 1600M though. No weight, but does look outclassed in this. No 3rd W=$102.80
20-NEWPORT (emerg) is unlikely to get a run, which is unfortunate, as Metrop. winners have gone OK recently. Last start winner going into this is a big plus and solid staying performance that day when cut corner and finished on well on a wet track. 3 times winners over 2400, just another who does like to drop well back – and drawn wide probably ends up well back here. Maybe a place chance on the off chance he gets into the field.
21-RED LORD (emerg) was wining in style in first couple of runs this time back, and unlucky when left run a little too late 2 starts back. Started favourite when disappointing in Metrop, but wet track that day probably did not suit. Mixed form a little here last spring, but does have a fair bit of ability on his day. Prior to last start form in Sydney had been really good – assuming that the Sydney form is any good that is, so probably a rough chance if he got a run. Again outside barrier would make task difficult though.
22-MOATIZE (emerg) is a 4YO with OK staying form as a 3YO. Fitter for 4 runs in and does have the 2500M run under his belt, but only just doing enough in each race to suck punters in for the next run – failing in much weaker class and big no no in this race.

Summary: Punter’s instinct is that this might be a trick race this year and we might get a surprise result. Traditionally – the form to following going into this race is clear cut. Lightly raced one, 4YO or 5YO, on the rise, hitting peak form this campaign, gets in with no weight, but wouldn’t be surprised if the winner this year came from outside those criteria.

Some very strong historical points – you can just about throw out the form guide and use these to narrow the selections.

- in the last 10 years, 7 Caulfield Cup winners have also been last start winners, the other 3 were last start place getters. You need to be at your peak – and in winning form to win this race. None of this “good cup trial” suck them in stuff, you need to be able to get right in the finish of the lead up races. There actually normally aren’t that many last start winners every year either – this year it’s only 8-ALL THE GOOD (IRE), 9-DOURO VALLEY , 12-LITTORIO, 15-DOLPHIN JO and 20-NEWPORT (emerg)

- in the last 20 years, 13 winners have come through the Turnbull or Yalumba Stakes. Normally you can find the winner just by looking at the place getters from those races.

- this year many of these are going into this race with only 2 or 3 runs in. In the last 10 years the only horse to win with less than 4 runs in was ETHEREAL in 2001 who had 3 runs in her preparation. Bit of a worry with so many of the main chances having a light preparation.

Lining up the weights from the Turnbull, winner 12-LITTORIO goes up 1kgs, 3-MASTER O'REILLY drops 0.5 kgs (beaten 1 L), 18-GUILLOTINE drops a whopping 4.5kgs (beaten 3.4L), 2-MALDIVIAN drops 0.5 kgs (beaten 4.2L), 1-WEEKEND HUSSLER drops 0.5 kgs (beaten 6L), 17-ZAGREB drops 2kgs (beaten 6.8L). Obviously 18-GUILLOTINE is extremely well weighted on that run, and there is not much between 12-LITTORIO and 3-MASTER O'REILLY

From the Yalumba, winner 9-DOURO VALLEY drops 5.5 kgs and 18-GUILLOTINE drops 6.5 kgs, beaten only a neck.

Barriers and tactical speed are important in the Caulfield Cup, always a lot of hard luck stories usually from those who drop too far back and leave it too late to run on. Bit uncertain what the speed is going to be like this year, only 2-MALDIVIAN, 14-BOUNDLESS (NZ) likely to go forward, but suspect the two overseas horses 7-MAD RUSH (USA), 8-ALL THE GOOD (IRE) might roll forward and make it a true staying test. 1-WEEKEND HUSSLER, 9-DOURO VALLEY, and16-RIVA SAN siting just behind these.

On form, on the strength of last win, 12-LITTORIO is definitely the one to beat, and do think he still represents value at the odds on offer. Long striding horse though, and query with him is if he gets caught up in the hustle and bustle of the Caulfield Cup and struggles to get clear. 9-DOURO VALLEY shouldn’t be underestimated, hard firm track will suit, looks well suited with this barrier coming off a last start win. 3-MASTER O'REILLY is a danger based on Turnbull placing, but going in with only the two runs in is a worry. 18-GUILLOTINE was a stand out on all counts until he drew a wide barrier. Just wouldn’t be surprised if there was an upset result this year, so not even writing off 4-FIUMICINO and 17-ZAGREB in what could be a trick year. Good luck of making sense of all this !


One to risk:
Roughie: 4-FIUMICINO

RESULTS : Total boilover result and Australian form is looking vastly inferior. Yet another last start winner gets up 8-ALL THE GOOD (IRE), and best we can say is we did say "Punter’s instinct is that this might be a trick race this year and we might get a surprise result" and "Just wouldn’t be surprised if there was an upset result this year" - does that count for anything ? No ? Oh well.
12-LITTORIO and 3-MASTER O'REILLY battle on OK - training from the couch, but they did both look short on runs going into this - history suggests you need to have 4 or more lead up runs into a Caulfield Cup, hence they got found out in a fast Caulfield Cup. Best runs obviously 6-NOM DU JEU and the unlucky 7-MAD RUSH - the size of the betting move for the overseas horse was quite amazing - 16-1 into 11-1. Is the Melbourne Cup going to be a non event for Australian horses ?
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